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How big is Under Observation?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 347–564
from 14 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Under Observation and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Under Observation's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 111k–134k
best case 1.3M (Unpacking)
Games like Under Observation

A typical game among these

≈ 111k–134k copies

≈ $122k–$818k after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Unpacking at ≈ 1.0M–1.7M copies, ≈ $5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 630 reviews in their first month; the range was 233 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (7 of 8) and Simulation (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Story Rich, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + Story Rich + Relaxing; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

[Chilla's Art] The Closing Shift | 閉店事件
2022
Est. copies
≈ 80k–130k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$132k–$354k after Steam's cut $239k–$544k before Steam's cut
$5.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureSimulation
Unpacking
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut $10.2M–$23.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingCute
I Expect You To Die
2017
Est. copies
≈ 96k–156k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$658k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
VRPuzzle
SchoolBoy Runaway
2024
Est. copies
≈ 97k–158k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$53k–$143k after Steam's cut $97k–$220k before Steam's cut
$1.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleAdventure
Morphopolis
2014
Est. copies
≈ 272k–441k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$298k–$801k after Steam's cut $542k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$3.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleIndie
LEGO® Builder's Journey
2021
Est. copies
≈ 107k–174k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$589k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
IndieCute
Summon
2023
Est. copies
≈ 89k–144k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$24k–$65k after Steam's cut $44k–$100k before Steam's cut
$0.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationMemes
Platform 8
2024
Est. copies
≈ 72k–116k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$79k–$211k after Steam's cut $143k–$325k before Steam's cut
$3.99
3k reviews
Very Positive

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