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How many copies did Mixture sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 347–564
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
from 14 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mixture and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mixture's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–28k
best case 138k (Moss VR)
Games like Mixture

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–28k copies

≈ $21k–$193k after Steam's cut

from ~489 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Moss VR at ≈ 105k–170k copies, ≈ $577k–$1.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 61 reviews in their first month; the range was 17 to 156.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action-Adventure (7 of 8) and Puzzle (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Puzzle, priced around $20.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Robinson: The Journey
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$104k–$280k after Steam's cut $189k–$430k before Steam's cut
$19.99
550 reviews
Mixed
VRDinosaurs
Suicide Guy VR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$14k–$38k after Steam's cut $26k–$59k before Steam's cut
$9.99
208 reviews
Mixed
Puzzle-PlatformerComedy
Moss VR
2018
Est. copies
≈ 105k–170k
7.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$577k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRAdventure
Moss II VR
2022
Est. copies
≈ 19k–32k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$107k–$287k after Steam's cut $194k–$442k before Steam's cut
$19.99
783 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationPuzzle-Platformer
Time Lock VR 1
2017
Est. copies
≈ 26k–42k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$93k–$250k after Steam's cut $169k–$385k before Steam's cut
$12.99
757 reviews
Mostly Positive
PuzzleHidden Object
DANGER! Escape Lab
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$4.99
47 reviews
Mixed
Eye of the Temple
2021
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$58k–$157k after Steam's cut $106k–$241k before Steam's cut
$19.99
428 reviews
Very Positive
VRAdventure
Magitek VR
2022
Est. copies
≈ 918–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
$14.99
37 reviews
Positive
Early AccessVR

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