How much revenue did Kiki make?

$59k–$158k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Kiki sell?

Q: How many copies did Kiki sell?

43k to 70k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 43k–70k; $59k–$158k after Steam's cut $107k–$244k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kiki and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kiki's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 177k–232k

best case 2.1M (Chained Together)

Games like Kiki

A typical game among these

≈ 177k–232k copies

≈ $1.7M–$2.0M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Chained Together at ≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies, ≈ $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 508 to 19k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (5 of 8) and Puzzle-Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Puzzle-Platformer + First-Person; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Refunct 2015	Est. copies ≈ 852k–1.4M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $701k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$2.99	17k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Parkour3D Platformer
Supraland 2019	Est. copies ≈ 446k–725k 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerExploration
Hob 2017	Est. copies ≈ 193k–314k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	6k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction
Chained Together 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before Steam's cut	$4.99	64k reviews Very Positive	Co-opAdventure
Sable 2021	Est. copies ≈ 161k–262k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut	$24.99	6k reviews Very Positive	AtmosphericExploration
Viewfinder 2023	Est. copies ≈ 330k–536k 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
The Talos Principle 2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 333k–541k 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Puzzle Story Rich
Tinykin 2022	Est. copies ≈ 108k–175k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $742k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.1M before Steam's cut	$24.99	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	3D PlatformerCute