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How many copies did Water City sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25–40
$55–$146 after Steam's cut $100–$224 before Steam's cut
from 1 review (1 user reviews)
Only 1 review so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Water City and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Water City's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 28k–403k
best case 1.2M (Sanctum 2)
Games like Water City

A typical game among these

≈ 28k–403k copies

≈ $132k–$3.4M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Sanctum 2 at ≈ 910k–1.5M copies, ≈ $3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 321 reviews in their first month; the range was 221 to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (7 of 8) and Survival (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense + FPS, priced around $15.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sanctum 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 910k–1.5M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Age of Darkness: Final Stand
2025
Est. copies
≈ 264k–430k
7.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.5M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.4M before Steam's cut
$27.99
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
Tower DefenseAction RTS
Decision: Red Daze
2022
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$123k–$332k after Steam's cut $224k–$510k before Steam's cut
$19.99
905 reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalAction
Minimalist Tower Defense
2024
Est. copies
≈ 46k–75k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$64k–$171k after Steam's cut $116k–$264k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Bad North: Jotunn Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 436k–709k
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
WargameVikings
Start Over
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$39k–$105k after Steam's cut $71k–$162k before Steam's cut
$14.99
382 reviews
Mixed
SurvivalBase-Building
SENTRY
2024
Est. copies
≈ 23k–37k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$124k–$334k after Steam's cut $226k–$514k before Steam's cut
$19.99
911 reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
IDUN - Frontline Survival
2025
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$74k–$199k after Steam's cut $135k–$306k before Steam's cut
$14.99
724 reviews
Mostly Positive
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