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How big is Gear Up?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 407k–661k
from 8k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Gear Up and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Gear Up's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–2.1M
best case 103.9M (Team Fortress 2)
Games like Gear Up

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–2.1M copies

≈ $9.7M–$13.3M after Steam's cut

from ~39k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Building (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Team Fortress 2 at ≈ 79.1M–128.6M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Building (3 of 8) and Robots (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hero Shooter + FPS. The breakout hits carry Hero Shooter + Class-Based + Team-Based; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Robocraft
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
117k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayRobots
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III
2015
Est. copies
≈ 309k–501k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
6k reviews
Mostly Negative
MultiplayerFPS
Besiege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationSandbox
Trailmakers
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceAction
Team Fortress 2
2007
Est. copies
≈ 79.1M–128.6M
32x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.3M reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayHero Shooter
The Talos Principle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePhilosophical
TerraTech
2018
Est. copies
≈ 761k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.2M–$14.1M after Steam's cut $9.5M–$21.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
BuildingSandbox
Clone Drone in the Danger Zone
2021
Est. copies
≈ 983k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RobotsAction

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.