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How many copies did Just a To the Moon Series Beach Episode sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 99k–160k
$217k–$583k after Steam's cut $394k–$896k before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Just a To the Moon Series Beach Episode and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Just a To the Moon Series Beach Episode's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 489k–2.3M
best case 4.6M (Persona 5 Royal)
Games like Just a To the Moon Series Beach Episode

A typical game among these

≈ 489k–2.3M copies

≈ $5.9M–$28.8M after Steam's cut

from ~29k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Persona 5 Royal at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (8 of 8) and JRPG (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Story Rich, priced around $60.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Persona 5 Royal
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut $104.9M–$238.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
141k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Impostor Factory
2021
Est. copies
≈ 319k–519k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$877k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichEmotional
Persona 3 Reload
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$26.5M–$71.2M after Steam's cut $48.2M–$109.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
65k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGRPG
Sea of Stars: Sunset Edition
2023
Est. copies
≈ 390k–634k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut
$34.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsJRPG
Like a Dragon: Infinite Wealth
2024
Est. copies
≈ 599k–973k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$11.5M–$31.0M after Steam's cut $20.9M–$47.7M before Steam's cut
$69.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
ActionJRPG
FINAL FANTASY XVI
2024
Est. copies
≈ 842k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$11.6M–$31.1M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
34k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RPGSpectacle fighter
OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 235k–382k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelEmotional

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