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How many copies did Sea of Stars: Sunset Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 390k–634k
$3.8M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut
from 16k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sea of Stars: Sunset Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sea of Stars: Sunset Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 575k–1.1M
best case 1.5M (Wandering Sword)
Games like Sea of Stars: Sunset Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 575k–1.1M copies

≈ $8.2M–$13.8M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Wandering Sword at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 16k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based (6 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Martial Arts + Turn-Based, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$7.2M–$19.3M after Steam's cut $13.1M–$29.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
18k reviews
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RPGTurn-Based
Dwarf Fortress
2022
Est. copies
≈ 783k–1.3M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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DwarfColony Sim
Grimm's Hollow
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Est. copies
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Free
Free
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Free to PlayPixel Graphics
Wandering Sword
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMartial Arts
Peglin
2024
Est. copies
≈ 439k–714k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut
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18k reviews
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Stoneshard
2020
Est. copies
≈ 886k–1.4M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before Steam's cut
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OCTOPATH TRAVELER™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 498k–809k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$8.2M–$22.1M after Steam's cut $14.9M–$34.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
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Into the Breach
2018
Est. copies
≈ 682k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy

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