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How many copies did FEATHERED RUN sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 496–806
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 20 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid FEATHERED RUN and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FEATHERED RUN's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–76k
best case 248k (Neon Beats)
Games like FEATHERED RUN

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–76k copies

≈ $1k–$37k after Steam's cut

from ~148 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Neon Beats at ≈ 189k–308k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 20 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 43.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rhythm (7 of 8) and Music (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rhythm + Music.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

BIT.TRIP Presents... Runner2: Future Legend of Rhythm Alien
2013
Est. copies
≈ 195k–316k
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$802k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Square
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$635–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$0.99
94 reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic
Neon Beats
2019
Est. copies
≈ 189k–308k
45x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayRhythm
One More Line
2015
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$12k–$32k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut
$2.99
292 reviews
Mostly Positive
RhythmFast-Paced
Street Power Football
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$18k–$49k after Steam's cut $33k–$76k before Steam's cut
$29.99
90 reviews
Mostly Negative
Football (Soccer)Simulation
Geometric Feel the Beats
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$611–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$1.99
45 reviews
Mostly Positive
RhythmCasual
Octahedron: Transfixed Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$22k–$59k after Steam's cut $40k–$90k before Steam's cut
$12.99
201 reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackPlatformer
Dash & Swing
2023
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$285–$767 after Steam's cut $519–$1k before Steam's cut
$2.99
14 reviews
Positive
ActionPlatformer

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