Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Oathbreakers sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 868–1k
from 35 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Oathbreakers and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Oathbreakers's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.7M–3.6M
best case 12.2M (VRChat)
Games like Oathbreakers

A typical game among these

≈ 2.7M–3.6M copies

≈ $31.8M–$42.4M after Steam's cut

from ~81k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: VRChat at ≈ 9.3M–15.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 18k reviews in their first month; the range was 846 to 26k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and First-Person (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Anime. The breakout hits carry Anime + Memes + VR; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

RaceRoom Racing Experience
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
28k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayRacing
Rec Room
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
84k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayVR
Golf With Your Friends
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.9M–$69.5M after Steam's cut $47.0M–$107.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
76k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerCasual
VRChat
2017
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
269k reviews
Mostly Positive
VRFree to Play
Fishing Planet
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78k reviews
Very Positive
FishingFree to Play
SNOW - The Ultimate Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 344k–559k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
12k reviews
Mixed
SportsOpen World
FPV Kamikaze Drone
2023
Est. copies
≈ 323k–526k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$533k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $969k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$5.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationAction
CarX Drift Racing Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut
$16.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RacingPhysics

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.