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How many copies did Return from Core sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 45k–73k
$211k–$568k after Steam's cut $384k–$873k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Return from Core and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Return from Core's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 881k–8.0M
best case 16.0M (Palworld)
Games like Return from Core

A typical game among these

≈ 881k–8.0M copies

≈ $6.2M–$113.1M after Steam's cut

from ~107k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Palworld at ≈ 12.2M–19.8M copies, ≈ $100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 32k reviews in their first month; the range was 7k to 469k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Survival (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Survival, priced around $30.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Satisfactory
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6.9M–11.3M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$76.3M–$205.2M after Steam's cut $138.8M–$315.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
280k reviews
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Base-BuildingAutomation
Palworld
2026
Est. copies
≈ 12.2M–19.8M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut $182.7M–$415.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
491k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival
Necesse
2025
Est. copies
≈ 727k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftMultiplayer
The Planet Crafter
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.6M before Steam's cut
$23.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftBase-Building
ASTRONEER
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$33.1M–$89.1M after Steam's cut $60.2M–$137.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
139k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOpen World
Factorio
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.5M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut
$35.00
236k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AutomationBase-Building
Craftopia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 502k–816k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.3M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
20k reviews
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Open WorldCrafting
Outpost: Infinity Siege
2024
Est. copies
≈ 338k–550k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Mixed
Robots3D

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