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How many copies did Creative Continents sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 322–524
$443–$1k after Steam's cut $805–$2k before Steam's cut
from 13 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Creative Continents and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Creative Continents's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 229k–390k
best case 6.7M (Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition)
Games like Creative Continents

A typical game among these

≈ 229k–390k copies

≈ $1.8M–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition at ≈ 5.1M–8.3M copies, ≈ $27.9M–$75.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 718 to 58k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Third Person (5 of 8) and Automobile Sim (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Automobile Sim, priced around $27. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Open World + Automobile Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grand Theft Auto IV: Complete Edition
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
35x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
204k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Blade Symphony
2014
Est. copies
≈ 262k–426k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Mixed
ActionFighting
Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.3M
35x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$27.9M–$75.1M after Steam's cut $50.8M–$115.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
205k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Alien Swarm: Reactive Drop
2017
Est. copies
≈ 819k–1.3M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
24k reviews
Very Positive
Call to Arms - Gates of Hell: Ostfront
2021
Est. copies
≈ 855k–1.4M
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.2M–$22.1M after Steam's cut $15.0M–$34.0M before Steam's cut
$34.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
World War IIHistorical
TaleSpire
2021
Est. copies
≈ 130k–211k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$894k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
TabletopDungeons & Dragons
Race The Sun
2013
Est. copies
≈ 402k–653k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Procedural GenerationRunner
HOT WHEELS UNLEASHED™
2021
Est. copies
≈ 189k–307k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
8k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingArcade

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