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How many copies did TaleSpire sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 130k–211k
$894k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid TaleSpire and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including TaleSpire's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 143k–274k
best case 390k (Pool 2D - Poolians)
Games like TaleSpire

A typical game among these

≈ 143k–274k copies

≈ $2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 7 similar games are hits.

Best case: Pool 2D - Poolians at ≈ 297k–483k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 262 reviews in their first month; the range was 25 to 613.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Strategy (4 of 7) and Turn-Based Tactics (3 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Pool + Simulation.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Field of Glory II
2017
Est. copies
≈ 43k–69k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$352k–$946k after Steam's cut $640k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
Pool 2D - Poolians
2019
Est. copies
≈ 297k–483k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
10k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayPool
Hex of Steel
2020
Est. copies
≈ 23k–37k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$156k–$419k after Steam's cut $284k–$645k before Steam's cut
$24.99
915 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyWorld War II
Winter Falling: Battle Tactics
2022
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$50k–$133k after Steam's cut $90k–$205k before Steam's cut
$14.99
485 reviews
Very Positive
Turn-BasedSingleplayer
Dungeon Alchemist
2022
Est. copies
≈ 98k–159k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
$44.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
SoftwareLevel Editor
Puzzle Together Multiplayer Jigsaw Puzzles
2020
Est. copies
≈ 121k–197k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleCasual
Mahokenshi - The Samurai Deckbuilder
2023
Est. copies
≈ 15k–25k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$106k–$286k after Steam's cut $193k–$440k before Steam's cut
$24.99
624 reviews
Mostly Positive
Board GameTurn-Based Tactics

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.