How much revenue did Hex of Steel make?

$156k–$419k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Hex of Steel sell?

Q: How many copies did Hex of Steel sell?

23k to 37k copies, based on its 915 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 23k–37k; $156k–$419k after Steam's cut $284k–$645k before Steam's cut; from 915 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hex of Steel and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hex of Steel's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 382k–804k

best case 27.3M (The Forest)

Games like Hex of Steel

A typical game among these

≈ 382k–804k copies

≈ $5.1M–$6.6M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is RTS (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share RTS (3 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Historical + War, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Age of History II 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M 4.4x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before Steam's cut	$5.99	50k reviews Very Positive	StrategyHistorical
KARDS - The WW2 Card Game 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	52k reviews Mixed	Free to PlayCard Game
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 60x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
MONOPOLY® PLUS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 568k–924k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	17k reviews Mixed	Board GameMultiplayer
Valkyria Chronicles™ 2014	Est. copies ≈ 746k–1.2M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	13k reviews Very Positive	AnimeStrategy
Ultimate General: Civil War 2017	Est. copies ≈ 296k–481k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	9k reviews Very Positive	WargameReal Time Tactics
Company of Heroes 3 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.6M 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut $30.0M–$68.3M before Steam's cut	$59.99	40k reviews Mixed	SingleplayerStrategy
Steel Division 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 277k–449k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	10k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyRTS