How much revenue did Chivalry: Medieval Warfare make?

$28.2M–$75.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Chivalry: Medieval Warfare sell?

Q: How many copies did Chivalry: Medieval Warfare sell?

4.1M to 6.7M copies, based on its 65k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4.1M–6.7M; $28.2M–$75.9M after Steam's cut $51.3M–$116.8M before Steam's cut; from 65k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Chivalry: Medieval Warfare and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Chivalry: Medieval Warfare's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.2M–10.1M

best case 9.7M (Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord)

Games like Chivalry: Medieval Warfare

A typical game among these

≈ 7.2M–10.1M copies

≈ $77.1M–$106.3M after Steam's cut

from ~141k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord at ≈ 7.4M–12.0M copies, ≈ $101.7M–$273.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Medieval (5 of 8) and Open World (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Medieval + Open World, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry War + Sandbox + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Castle Crashers® 2012	Est. copies ≈ 8.9M–14.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $36.7M–$98.7M after Steam's cut $66.8M–$151.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	141k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	2DOnline Co-Op
Middle-earth™: Shadow of War™ 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $55.4M–$149.1M after Steam's cut $100.8M–$229.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	117k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin 2015	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $71.3M–$191.8M after Steam's cut $129.7M–$295.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	133k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord 2022	Est. copies ≈ 7.4M–12.0M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $101.7M–$273.3M after Steam's cut $184.8M–$420.5M before Steam's cut	$49.99	298k reviews Very Positive	MedievalStrategy
Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $50.7M–$136.2M after Steam's cut $92.1M–$209.6M before Steam's cut	$34.99	183k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS
Age of Empires II (Retired) 2013	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $35.7M–$96.1M after Steam's cut $65.0M–$147.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	103k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StrategyRTS
Mount & Blade: Warband 2010	Est. copies ≈ 10.9M–17.7M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $59.8M–$160.9M after Steam's cut $108.8M–$247.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	172k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MedievalRPG
FOR HONOR™ 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.7M–9.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $46.9M–$126.2M after Steam's cut $85.3M–$194.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	165k reviews Mixed	MedievalSwordplay