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How many copies did Marabundle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 347–564
$953–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 14 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Marabundle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Marabundle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.8M–22.1M
best case 38.8M (Portal 2)
Games like Marabundle

A typical game among these

≈ 4.8M–22.1M copies

≈ $50.8M–$85.3M after Steam's cut

from ~174k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Card Game (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 23k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (4 of 8) and Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Puzzle, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Inscryption
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut $36.9M–$84.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerCard Game
Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.6M–20.5M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
199k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Golfie
2023
Est. copies
≈ 10k–17k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$52k–$139k after Steam's cut $94k–$213k before Steam's cut
$17.99
420 reviews
Mixed
PvPAction
Ori and the Will of the Wisps
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
147k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulMetroidvania
The Prometheus Secret Noohra
2019
Est. copies
≈ 173–281
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$47–$127 after Steam's cut $86–$195 before Steam's cut
$0.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Puzzle-PlatformerPlatformer
Bearnard
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$19k–$52k after Steam's cut $35k–$80k before Steam's cut
$16.99
166 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureTurn-Based Tactics
动绘(Drawing)
2020
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$69–$182 after Steam's cut $125–$280 before Steam's cut
$9.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
CasualStory Rich

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