How much revenue did Little Inferno make?

$3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Little Inferno sell?

Q: How many copies did Little Inferno sell?

872k to 1.4M copies, based on its 14k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 872k–1.4M; $3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.5M–$14.9M before Steam's cut; from 14k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Little Inferno and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Little Inferno's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11k–4.4M

best case 16.5M (Portal)

Games like Little Inferno

A typical game among these

≈ 11k–4.4M copies

≈ $5k–$36.0M after Steam's cut

from ~28k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal at ≈ 12.6M–20.5M copies, ≈ $34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 53 reviews in their first month; the range was 18 to 21k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (5 of 8) and Comedy (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Little Nightmares 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.5M 4.2x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	117k reviews Very Positive	HorrorAtmospheric
The Stanley Parable 2013	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	46k reviews Very Positive	ComedyNarration
Helltaker 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.2M 4.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	128k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayCute
Portal 2007	Est. copies ≈ 12.6M–20.5M 7.1x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	199k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Dr. Langeskov, The Tiger, and The Terribly Cursed Emerald: A Whirlwind Heist 2015	Est. copies ≈ 497k–808k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	10k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayComedy
Messticulous 2024	Est. copies ≈ 496–806 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $545–$1k after Steam's cut $990–$2k before Steam's cut	$3.99	20 reviews Positive	ComedyPhysics
SpreadCheat 2025	Est. copies ≈ 918–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut	$6.99	37 reviews Positive	PuzzleAdventure
Hidden Cats in London 2022	Est. copies ≈ 11k–18k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut	$1.99	456 reviews Very Positive	CatsHidden Object