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How many copies did Interregnum: False Prophet sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$41k before Steam's cut
from 58 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Interregnum: False Prophet and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Interregnum: False Prophet's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–5.7M
best case 6.0M (XCOM® 2)
Games like Interregnum: False Prophet

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–5.7M copies

≈ $22.4M–$60.6M after Steam's cut

from ~63k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: XCOM® 2 at ≈ 4.6M–7.4M copies, ≈ $25.1M–$67.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Strategy (7 of 8) and Tactical (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Isometric + Turn-Based Combat, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 2M–5M
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XCOM: Enemy Unknown
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
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Turn-Based StrategyTactical
Total War: SHOGUN 2
2011
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≈ 4.3M–7.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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2017
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≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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29k reviews
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StrategyRPG
XCOM® 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.4M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$25.1M–$67.5M after Steam's cut $45.6M–$103.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
110k reviews
Very Positive
IsometricTurn-Based Combat
Total War: ROME II - Emperor Edition
2013
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≈ 5.6M–9.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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RISK: Global Domination
2020
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≈ 1.0M–1.7M
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Free
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42k reviews
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Free to PlayMultiplayer

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