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How many copies did Seer's Gambit sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 13k–21k
$54k–$146k after Steam's cut $99k–$225k before Steam's cut
from 532 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Seer's Gambit and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Seer's Gambit's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 114k–134k
best case 572k (Bad North: Jotunn Edition)
Games like Seer's Gambit

A typical game among these

≈ 114k–134k copies

≈ $573k–$826k after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Bad North: Jotunn Edition at ≈ 436k–709k copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Auto Battler (5 of 8) and Rogue-like (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Wargame + Vikings, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Wargame + Vikings + Real Time Tactics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Last Flame
2025
Est. copies
≈ 73k–118k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$401k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $729k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-likeAuto Battler
Heretic's Fork
2023
Est. copies
≈ 102k–166k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$281k–$755k after Steam's cut $511k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
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Meme Mayhem
2024
Est. copies
≈ 125k–203k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$584k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$16.99
5k reviews
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Legend Creatures(传奇生物)
2020
Est. copies
≈ 98k–159k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$134k–$361k after Steam's cut $244k–$556k before Steam's cut
$4.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationIndie
Bad North: Jotunn Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 436k–709k
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
WargameVikings
Luck be a Landlord
2023
Est. copies
≈ 287k–467k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$789k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Despot's Game: Dystopian Battle Simulator
2022
Est. copies
≈ 83k–135k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$458k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $833k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Auto BattlerPixel Graphics
Gladiator Guild Manager
2024
Est. copies
≈ 102k–165k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$418k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $761k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyAuto Battler

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