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How big is EMPTY SHELL: PROLOGUE?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 35k–57k
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid EMPTY SHELL: PROLOGUE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including EMPTY SHELL: PROLOGUE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1000k–2.1M
best case 5.2M (The Binding of Isaac)
Games like EMPTY SHELL: PROLOGUE

A typical game among these

≈ 1000k–2.1M copies

≈ $4.7M–$9.2M after Steam's cut

from ~36k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Binding of Isaac at ≈ 4.0M–6.5M copies, ≈ $5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 23k reviews in their first month; the range was 10k to 41k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Rogue-like (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-like, priced around $5.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Binding of Isaac
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$4.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Soulstone Survivors
2025
Est. copies
≈ 668k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Halls of Torment
2024
Est. copies
≈ 793k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut
$6.66
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Nuclear Throne
2015
Est. copies
≈ 967k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
$11.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Hero Siege
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.8M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.4M before Steam's cut
$7.99
48k reviews
Mixed
Action RPGPixel Graphics
Magicraft
2024
Est. copies
≈ 419k–681k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.6M before Steam's cut
$15.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.6M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.8M before Steam's cut
$12.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
DwarfAction Roguelike
暖雪 Warm Snow
2022
Est. copies
≈ 971k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut
$17.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite

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