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How many copies did House of Lizards sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 13k–21k
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
from 516 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid House of Lizards and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including House of Lizards's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 191k–955k
best case 7.8M (The Isle)
Games like House of Lizards

A typical game among these

≈ 191k–955k copies

≈ $40k–$5.0M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Isle at ≈ 5.9M–9.6M copies, ≈ $32.6M–$87.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 76 reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 2k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Dinosaurs (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dinosaurs + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Isle
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.6M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$32.6M–$87.7M after Steam's cut $59.3M–$134.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
DinosaursSurvival
Beasts of Bermuda
2018
Est. copies
≈ 297k–482k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Mixed
DinosaursSimulation
Survive or Thrive
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$1.99
240 reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterMultiple Endings
Dinosaur Hunt
2015
Est. copies
≈ 192k–312k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$52k–$140k after Steam's cut $95k–$216k before Steam's cut
$0.99
4k reviews
Mixed
DinosaursAction
WORLD OF ART JIGSAW PUZZLES
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$12k–$32k after Steam's cut $22k–$49k before Steam's cut
$10.99
158 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
My Singing Monsters
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
7.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
50k reviews
Very Positive
Creature CollectorSimulation
theHunter: Primal
2015
Est. copies
≈ 198k–322k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Mixed
DinosaursSurvival
LEGO® Jurassic World
2015
Est. copies
≈ 559k–908k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
LEGODinosaurs

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