How much revenue did Wilderless make?

$5k–$14k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Wilderless sell?

Q: How many copies did Wilderless sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 96 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut; from 96 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wilderless and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wilderless's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 635–32k

best case 23.0M (No Man's Sky)

Games like Wilderless

A typical game among these

≈ 635–32k copies

≈ $2k–$314k after Steam's cut

from ~403 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.5M–28.5M copies, ≈ $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 20 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 115.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Procedural Generation (8 of 8) and Exploration (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Space + Sci-fi; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Sapling 2019	Est. copies ≈ 58k–94k 5.0x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $286k–$768k after Steam's cut $520k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$17.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Life SimSandbox
cyubeVR 2018	Est. copies ≈ 35k–56k 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $285k–$765k after Steam's cut $517k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	1k reviews Very Positive	VRBuilding
No Man's Sky 2016	Est. copies ≈ 17.5M–28.5M 1046x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	422k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Intergalactic Fishing 2020	Est. copies ≈ 10k–16k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $41k–$111k after Steam's cut $75k–$170k before Steam's cut	$14.99	403 reviews Very Positive	FishingRPG
Hidden Treasures in the Forest of Dreams 2022	Est. copies ≈ 50–81 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $344–$921 after Steam's cut $625–$1k before Steam's cut	$24.99	2 reviews 2 user reviews	RelaxingNature
Overworld - Map Keeper's Realm 2024	Est. copies ≈ 322–524 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $707–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$7.99	13 reviews Mostly Negative	SoftwareLevel Editor
Paradise Marsh 2022	Est. copies ≈ 14k–22k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $56k–$150k after Steam's cut $101k–$231k before Steam's cut	$14.99	546 reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsProcedural Generation
Shutter Stroll 2024	Est. copies ≈ 645–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$5.99	26 reviews Positive	ExplorationProcedural Generation