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How many copies did Contra: Operation Galuga sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 24k–39k
$267k–$718k after Steam's cut $485k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
from 979 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Contra: Operation Galuga and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Contra: Operation Galuga's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 364k–544k
best case 1.0M (Crab Champions)
Games like Contra: Operation Galuga

A typical game among these

≈ 364k–544k copies

≈ $639k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Crab Champions at ≈ 774k–1.3M copies, ≈ $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (5 of 8) and Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Soundtrack, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Early Access + Soundtrack + Looter Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

METAL SLUG 3
2014
Est. copies
≈ 514k–836k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$7.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
ArcadeClassic
Defy Gravity Extended
2016
Est. copies
≈ 355k–576k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$194k–$522k after Steam's cut $353k–$803k before Steam's cut
$1.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPlatformer
Crab Champions
2023
Est. copies
≈ 774k–1.3M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
31k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
BEEP
2011
Est. copies
≈ 295k–480k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive
IndiePlatformer
Downwell
2015
Est. copies
≈ 421k–685k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$346k–$931k after Steam's cut $630k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$2.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Precision PlatformerAction Roguelike
Super Crate Box
2012
Est. copies
≈ 407k–662k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayIndie
HUNTDOWN
2021
Est. copies
≈ 110k–179k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$604k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerPixel Graphics
METAL SLUG
2015
Est. copies
≈ 259k–421k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$569k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$7.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ActionArcade

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