How much revenue did Ai Dawn make?

Ai Dawn is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Ai Dawn sell?

Q: How many copies did Ai Dawn sell?

99 to 161 copies, based on its 4 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 99–161; from 4 reviews (4 user reviews); Only 4 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ai Dawn and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ai Dawn's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–4k

best case 19k (Blaston)

Games like Ai Dawn

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–4k copies

≈ $614–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~58 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Blaston at ≈ 14k–23k copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 11 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 55.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 3D Fighter (5 of 8) and Arcade (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with VR + Competitive.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Trump Loves Russia 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$1.99	76 reviews Mostly Positive	ActionAdventure
Melon Dusk 2022	Est. copies ≈ 744–1k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $407–$1k after Steam's cut $740–$2k before Steam's cut	$1.99	30 reviews Positive	Early AccessChoose Your Own Adventure
Daenerys Miracle 2021	Est. copies ≈ 942–2k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $256–$690 after Steam's cut $466–$1k before Steam's cut	$0.99	38 reviews Positive	Arena ShooterThird-Person Shooter
Idol VS Furries 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$1.99	84 reviews Very Positive	ActionCasual
Input Chaos 2022	Est. copies ≈ 992–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$3.99	40 reviews Positive	PhysicsSpectacle fighter
69 Ways to Kill a Zombie 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut	$4.99	140 reviews Mixed	VRZombies
Blaston 2020	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k 9.9x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	577 reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerStrategy
The Breakup Arena 2024	Est. copies ≈ 471–766 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $258–$694 after Steam's cut $469–$1k before Steam's cut	$1.99	19 reviews Positive	ActionBeat 'em up