How much revenue did Blood Moon make?

$6k–$16k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Blood Moon sell?

Q: How many copies did Blood Moon sell?

3k to 4k copies, based on its 107 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–4k; $6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$24k before Steam's cut; from 107 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Blood Moon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Blood Moon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 740–2k

best case 179k (私のリアルは充実しすぎているフルボイス版)

Games like Blood Moon

A typical game among these

≈ 740–2k copies

≈ $2k–$5k after Steam's cut

from ~27 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: 私のリアルは充実しすぎているフルボイス版 at ≈ 136k–222k copies, ≈ $375k–$1.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 30 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 1k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Romance (8 of 8) and Text-Based (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Romance, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Visual Novel + Word Game + Cute; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
恋爱绮谭不存在的真相 2022	Est. copies ≈ 55k–89k 82x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $211k–$568k after Steam's cut $384k–$873k before Steam's cut	$13.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Interactive FictionWord Game
私のリアルは充実しすぎているフルボイス版 2022	Est. copies ≈ 136k–222k 204x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $375k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $681k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	OtomeFemale Protagonist
Paranormal Preparatory School 2022	Est. copies ≈ 521–846 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$6.99	21 reviews Mixed	RPGInteractive Fiction
モノマギア・カンタービレ 2022	Est. copies ≈ 223–363 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	9 reviews 9 user reviews	AdventureOtome
CaveFiction 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2k 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$10k before Steam's cut	$5.99	61 reviews Very Positive	PsychedelicVisual Novel
Wayhaven Chronicles: Book Three 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k 5.3x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut	$11.99	143 reviews Very Positive	AdventureCasual
Grand Academy for Future Villains 2017	Est. copies ≈ 894–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$5.99	26 reviews Mixed	IndieAdventure
Vampire's Kiss 2023	Est. copies ≈ 694–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$5.99	28 reviews Mixed	RPGInteractive Fiction