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How many copies did Banbard sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 198–322
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 8 reviews (8 user reviews)
Only 8 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Banbard and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Banbard's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 379k–485k
best case 799k (Marvel's Midnight Suns)
Games like Banbard

A typical game among these

≈ 379k–485k copies

≈ $4.0M–$8.4M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Marvel's Midnight Suns at ≈ 609k–990k copies, ≈ $10.0M–$27.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (8 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Superhero + Turn-Based Tactics, priced around $60.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

TROUBLESHOOTER: Abandoned Children
2020
Est. copies
≈ 246k–399k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGTactical RPG
The Last Spell
2023
Est. copies
≈ 341k–555k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySingleplayer
SD GUNDAM G GENERATION CROSS RAYS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 236k–384k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
MechsTactical RPG
Warhammer 40,000: Chaos Gate - Daemonhunters
2022
Est. copies
≈ 368k–597k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.8M before Steam's cut
$44.99
15k reviews
Mostly Positive
Warhammer 40KTurn-Based Strategy
Jagged Alliance 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 374k–608k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before Steam's cut
$44.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Marvel's Midnight Suns
2022
Est. copies
≈ 609k–990k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$27.0M after Steam's cut $18.3M–$41.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
SuperheroTurn-Based Tactics
Songs of Conquest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 337k–547k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.5M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Local MultiplayerTurn-Based Tactics
Tactical Breach Wizards
2024
Est. copies
≈ 303k–492k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.