How much revenue did Warp Frontier make?

$5k–$13k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Warp Frontier sell?

Q: How many copies did Warp Frontier sell?

1k to 2k copies, based on its 48 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1k–2k; $5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut; from 48 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Warp Frontier and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Warp Frontier's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11k–16k

best case 57k (Cricket 22)

Games like Warp Frontier

A typical game among these

≈ 11k–16k copies

≈ $29k–$76k after Steam's cut

from ~361 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Point & Click (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Cricket 22 at ≈ 44k–71k copies, ≈ $539k–$1.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 61 reviews in their first month; the range was 29 to 432.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Point & Click (4 of 8) and Realistic (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Sports, priced around $26. The breakout hits carry Sports + 3D + Family Friendly; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
場外人生 2019	Est. copies ≈ 10k–16k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$33k before Steam's cut	$2.99	332 reviews Very Positive	CasualSimulation
Cricket 22 2021	Est. copies ≈ 44k–71k 4.9x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $539k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $980k–$2.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	2k reviews Very Positive	SimulationSports
AntVentor 2018	Est. copies ≈ 16k–26k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $22k–$59k after Steam's cut $40k–$91k before Steam's cut	$4.99	528 reviews Very Positive	AtmosphericCute
Garage: Bad Dream Adventure 2022	Est. copies ≈ 10k–16k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $53k–$142k after Steam's cut $96k–$219k before Steam's cut	$19.90	390 reviews Very Positive	AdventurePoint & Click
The Journey Down: Chapter One 2013	Est. copies ≈ 82k–133k 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $157k–$423k after Steam's cut $286k–$650k before Steam's cut	$6.99	1k reviews Very Positive	AdventurePoint & Click
Whiteboyz Wit Attitude: The Pursuit of Money 2020	Est. copies ≈ 13k–21k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	517 reviews Very Positive	RhythmFMV
The Wild Case 2021	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $16k–$42k after Steam's cut $29k–$65k before Steam's cut	$8.99	257 reviews Very Positive	Point & ClickPuzzle
Someday You'll Return: Director's Cut 2023	Est. copies ≈ 7k–12k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $41k–$111k after Steam's cut $75k–$170k before Steam's cut	$19.99	302 reviews Very Positive	HorrorMystery