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How many copies did The Journey Down: Chapter One sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 82k–133k
$157k–$423k after Steam's cut $286k–$650k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Journey Down: Chapter One and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Journey Down: Chapter One's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 68k–102k
best case 5.0M (Disco Elysium - The Final Cut)
Games like The Journey Down: Chapter One

A typical game among these

≈ 68k–102k copies

≈ $336k–$684k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Disco Elysium - The Final Cut at ≈ 3.8M–6.2M copies, ≈ $41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 261 reviews in their first month; the range was 164 to 859.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Point & Click (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry RPG + Choices Matter + Detective; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SurrealGore

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