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How many copies did Orcs Must Die! Deathtrap sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 117k–191k
$967k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Orcs Must Die! Deathtrap and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Orcs Must Die! Deathtrap's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 474k–1.1M
best case 1.6M (Orcs Must Die! 2)
Games like Orcs Must Die! Deathtrap

A typical game among these

≈ 474k–1.1M copies

≈ $2.5M–$9.2M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Third-Person Shooter (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Orcs Must Die! 2 at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 983 reviews in their first month; the range was 883 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Third-Person Shooter (4 of 8) and Tower Defense (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense + Co-op, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Orcs Must Die! 3
2021
Est. copies
≈ 371k–603k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Garfield Kart
2015
Est. copies
≈ 691k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicCombat Racing
Orcs Must Die!
2011
Est. copies
≈ 539k–876k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseAction
EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 5
2019
Est. copies
≈ 333k–540k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.8M after Steam's cut $10.0M–$22.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOnline Co-Op
HYPERCHARGE: Unboxed
2020
Est. copies
≈ 109k–177k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$749k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Co-op CampaignAction-Adventure
Plants vs. Zombies: Battle for Neighborville™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 468k–760k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Mostly Positive
MultiplayerThird-Person Shooter
Orcs Must Die! 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
Dungeon Defenders
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOnline Co-Op

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