How much revenue did EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 5 make?

$5.5M–$14.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 5 sell?

Q: How many copies did EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 5 sell?

333k to 540k copies, based on its 12k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 333k–540k; $5.5M–$14.8M after Steam's cut $10.0M–$22.7M before Steam's cut; from 12k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 5 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 5's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 22.4M–58.5M

best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like EARTH DEFENSE FORCE 5

A typical game among these

≈ 22.4M–58.5M copies

≈ $166.7M–$359.6M after Steam's cut

from ~730k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Shooter (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 208k reviews in their first month; the range was 103k to 469k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Shooter (4 of 8) and Third-Person Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 3.8x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
HELLDIVERS™ 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 28.9M–46.9M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut $577.5M–$1313.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	1.2M reviews Mostly Positive	Online Co-OpPvE
Warframe 2013	Est. copies ≈ 42.9M–69.7M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	678k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayAction RPG
Palworld 2026	Est. copies ≈ 12.2M–19.8M SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut $182.7M–$415.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	491k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldSurvival
War Thunder 2013	Est. copies ≈ 49.7M–80.7M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	786k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlaySimulation
Arma 3 2013	Est. copies ≈ 18.7M–30.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $154.1M–$414.3M after Steam's cut $280.2M–$637.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	296k reviews Very Positive	MilitaryAction
Risk of Rain 2 2020	Est. copies ≈ 8.8M–14.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	353k reviews Very Positive	Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Call of Duty® 2022	Est. copies ≈ 19.4M–31.5M SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	782k reviews Mixed	FPSMultiplayer