How much revenue did Tenebris: Terra Incognita make?

$64k–$172k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tenebris: Terra Incognita sell?

Q: How many copies did Tenebris: Terra Incognita sell?

12k to 19k copies, based on its 470 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 12k–19k; $64k–$172k after Steam's cut $117k–$265k before Steam's cut; from 470 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tenebris: Terra Incognita and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tenebris: Terra Incognita's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.9M–5.7M

best case 27.3M (The Forest)

Games like Tenebris: Terra Incognita

A typical game among these

≈ 2.9M–5.7M copies

≈ $37.3M–$96.7M after Steam's cut

from ~88k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Turn-Based Strategy (5 of 8) and Fantasy (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Survival + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Persona 3 Reload 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $26.5M–$71.2M after Steam's cut $48.2M–$109.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	65k reviews Very Positive	JRPGRPG
Total War: WARHAMMER 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut $65.3M–$148.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	52k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyFantasy
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 7.8x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.5M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	206k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tactical RPGRPG
Total War: WARHAMMER II 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.2M–6.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $68.9M–$185.3M after Steam's cut $125.3M–$285.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	121k reviews Very Positive	StrategyFantasy
XCOM: Enemy Unknown 2012	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.3M before Steam's cut	$14.99	59k reviews Very Positive	Turn-Based StrategyTactical
XCOM® 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.6M–7.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $25.1M–$67.5M after Steam's cut $45.6M–$103.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	110k reviews Very Positive	IsometricTurn-Based Combat
Persona 4 Golden 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	88k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPGGreat Soundtrack