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How many copies did River Town Factory sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 34k–55k
$139k–$373k after Steam's cut $252k–$574k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid River Town Factory and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including River Town Factory's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 484k–1.0M
best case 7.7M (Factorio)
Games like River Town Factory

A typical game among these

≈ 484k–1.0M copies

≈ $3.2M–$5.5M after Steam's cut

from ~28k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Factorio at ≈ 5.9M–9.5M copies, ≈ $56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 808 to 86k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Base-Building (5 of 8) and Sandbox (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Automation + Base-Building, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Crafting + Resource Management + Survival; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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too small to compare
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8.4x vs typical
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Overwhelmingly Positive
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.