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How many copies did Apewar sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 212k–344k
$58k–$155k after Steam's cut $105k–$238k before Steam's cut
from 9k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Apewar and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Apewar's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.8M–11.5M
best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like Apewar

A typical game among these

≈ 4.8M–11.5M copies

≈ $77.9M–$96.4M after Steam's cut

from ~156k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is First-Person (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 53k reviews in their first month; the range was 21k to 183k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (4 of 8) and Anime (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Mature + Utilities + Software; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Helltaker
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Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Bloons TD 6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 12.0M–19.6M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut $84.2M–$191.5M before Steam's cut
$13.99
396k reviews
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Tower DefenseStrategy
VRChat
2017
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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269k reviews
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VRFree to Play
Resident Evil Village
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
155k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$52.3M–$140.6M after Steam's cut $95.1M–$216.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
156k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
MiSide
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.6M–$39.2M after Steam's cut $26.5M–$60.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
143k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
6.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Monster Hunter Wilds
2025
Est. copies
≈ 8.2M–13.4M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$90.5M–$243.4M after Steam's cut $164.6M–$374.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
332k reviews
Mixed
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