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How many copies did Cowboy 3030 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$12k–$32k after Steam's cut $22k–$49k before Steam's cut
from 117 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cowboy 3030 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cowboy 3030's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–13k
best case 11.5M (Risk of Rain 2)
Games like Cowboy 3030

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–13k copies

≈ $7k–$48k after Steam's cut

from ~130 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Risk of Rain 2 at ≈ 8.8M–14.2M copies, ≈ $60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 181 reviews in their first month; the range was 35 to 103k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Bullet Hell (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Co-op, priced around $42. The breakout hits carry Co-op + Action + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.8M–14.2M
2728x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
353k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
KUNKUN League
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$2.99
154 reviews
Very Positive
Xmas Apocalypse
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
$6.99
105 reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RoguelikeShooter
Before The Dawn
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$4.99
48 reviews
Positive
Returnal™
2023
Est. copies
≈ 276k–448k
86x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
ActionBullet Hell
Atomic Picnic
2024
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$77k–$207k after Steam's cut $140k–$318k before Steam's cut
$19.99
564 reviews
Mostly Positive
Rogue-likeAction Roguelike
Black Gunner Wukong
2024
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$137k before Steam's cut
$9.99
487 reviews
Very Positive
Shoot 'Em UpAction Roguelike
Project Malice
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$19k before Steam's cut
$9.99
69 reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.