How much revenue did Xmas Apocalypse make?

$5k–$13k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Xmas Apocalypse sell?

Q: How many copies did Xmas Apocalypse sell?

3k to 4k copies, based on its 105 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–4k; $5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut; from 105 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Xmas Apocalypse and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Xmas Apocalypse's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 478k–950k

best case 4.9M (Enter the Gungeon)

Games like Xmas Apocalypse

A typical game among these

≈ 478k–950k copies

≈ $3.3M–$7.7M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Enter the Gungeon at ≈ 3.7M–6.1M copies, ≈ $15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 21k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Bullet Hell (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Bullet Hell + Action Roguelike, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Dungeon Crawler + Local Co-Op + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Nova Drift 2024	Est. copies ≈ 364k–592k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut	$17.99	15k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeArena Shooter
Nuclear Throne 2015	Est. copies ≈ 967k–1.6M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut	$11.99	20k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Enter the Gungeon 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.1M 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	90k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Roboquest 2023	Est. copies ≈ 608k–989k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	25k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSAction Roguelike
Voidigo 2023	Est. copies ≈ 122k–199k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $168k–$451k after Steam's cut $305k–$694k before Steam's cut	$4.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeTwin Stick Shooter
Returnal™ 2023	Est. copies ≈ 276k–448k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.6M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	11k reviews Very Positive	ActionBullet Hell
20 Minutes Till Dawn 2023	Est. copies ≈ 724k–1.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $993k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut	$4.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Immortal Redneck 2017	Est. copies ≈ 115k–187k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $632k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut	$19.95	3k reviews Very Positive	Boomer ShooterFPS