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How many copies did DragonStrike sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 719–1k
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 29 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DragonStrike and predicted how it would do from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including DragonStrike's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–10.4M
best case 10.5M (Sons Of The Forest)
Games like DragonStrike

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–10.4M copies

≈ $9.8M–$80.0M after Steam's cut

from ~64k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sons Of The Forest at ≈ 8.0M–12.9M copies, ≈ $65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 37k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 178k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (4 of 5) and Co-op (3 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World, priced around $30.
When they shipped
4 of the 5 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sons Of The Forest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–12.9M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut $119.4M–$271.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
321k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Contraband Police
2023
Est. copies
≈ 641k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.2M after Steam's cut $9.6M–$21.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldSimulation
Chained Together
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
64k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAdventure
Schedule I
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7.9M–12.8M
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut $78.8M–$179.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
318k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Slime Rancher 2
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.3M–$27.6M after Steam's cut $18.7M–$42.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
50k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessCute

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