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How many copies did Tom Clancy’s Splinter Cell Blacklist sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
$6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.4M before the cut
from 22k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Tom Clancy’s Splinter Cell Blacklist out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tom Clancy’s Splinter Cell Blacklist's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.9M–4.9M
best case 4.8M (Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Wildlands)

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 2.9M–4.9M copies
≈ $39.7M–$85.8M after Steam's cut
from ~76k reviews
Best case
≈ 3.6M–5.9M copies
Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Wildlands · ≈ $49.9M–$134.3M after Steam's cut
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Stealth (7 of 8) and Open World (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Shooter, priced around $50.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Assassin's Creed® Unity
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.3M–$97.5M after Steam's cut $65.9M–$149.9M before the cut
$29.99
85k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldParkour
Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$16.9M–$45.3M after Steam's cut $30.7M–$69.8M before the cut
$39.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StealthStrategy
HITMAN™ 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
75k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAssassin
Sniper Elite 4
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$35.6M–$95.7M after Steam's cut $64.7M–$147.2M before the cut
$59.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
SniperAction
Friday the 13th: The Game
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
77k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Wildlands
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$49.9M–$134.3M after Steam's cut $90.8M–$206.6M before the cut
$49.99
106k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldShooter
Watch_Dogs™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.7M–$39.5M after Steam's cut $26.7M–$60.7M before the cut
$19.99
51k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldHacking
Watch_Dogs® 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$54.1M–$145.5M after Steam's cut $98.4M–$223.8M before the cut
$49.99
98k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldHacking

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