How much revenue did Tom Clancy’s Splinter Cell Blacklist make?

$7.5M–$20.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tom Clancy’s Splinter Cell Blacklist sell?

Q: How many copies did Tom Clancy’s Splinter Cell Blacklist sell?

1.4M to 2.2M copies, based on its 22k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.4M–2.2M; $7.5M–$20.3M after Steam's cut $13.7M–$31.2M before Steam's cut; from 22k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tom Clancy’s Splinter Cell Blacklist and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tom Clancy’s Splinter Cell Blacklist's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.0M–5.3M

best case 5.2M (Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Wildlands)

Games like Tom Clancy’s Splinter Cell Blacklist

A typical game among these

≈ 3.0M–5.3M copies

≈ $40.9M–$93.8M after Steam's cut

from ~76k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Wildlands at ≈ 4.0M–6.4M copies, ≈ $54.5M–$146.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Stealth (7 of 8) and Open World (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Shooter, priced around $50.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Assassin's Creed® Unity 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.8M–7.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $39.7M–$106.8M after Steam's cut $72.2M–$164.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	86k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldParkour
Shadow Tactics: Blades of the Shogun 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $17.6M–$47.3M after Steam's cut $32.0M–$72.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	38k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StealthStrategy
HITMAN™ 2 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	75k reviews Very Positive	StealthAssassin
Sniper Elite 4 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut $65.4M–$148.7M before Steam's cut	$59.99	63k reviews Very Positive	SniperAction
Friday the 13th: The Game 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	77k reviews Very Positive	HorrorMultiplayer
Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Wildlands 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.4M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $54.5M–$146.6M after Steam's cut $99.2M–$225.6M before Steam's cut	$49.99	115k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldShooter
Watch_Dogs™ 2014	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $16.5M–$44.3M after Steam's cut $30.0M–$68.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	54k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldHacking
Watch_Dogs® 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.3M–7.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $59.1M–$158.9M after Steam's cut $107.5M–$244.4M before Steam's cut	$49.99	103k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldHacking