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How big is Untitled Ghost Game?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 13k–21k
from 516 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Untitled Ghost Game and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Untitled Ghost Game's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 738k–3.1M
best case 47.6M (Geometry Dash)
Games like Untitled Ghost Game

A typical game among these

≈ 738k–3.1M copies

≈ $7.0M–$34.2M after Steam's cut

from ~63k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is First-Person (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 36.2M–58.9M copies, ≈ $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 45k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (3 of 8) and Horror (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Level Editor, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Level Editor + Great Soundtrack + Precision Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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≈ 2.8M–4.5M
1.8x vs typical
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HorrorOnline Co-Op
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Hatsune Miku: Project DIVA Mega Mix+
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Est. copies
≈ 590k–959k
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RhythmAnime
Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 36.2M–58.9M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut
$4.99
647k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic

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