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How many copies did Tenders Fight sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 893–1k
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 36 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tenders Fight and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tenders Fight's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 724–2k
best case 3k (Up N' Down)
Games like Tenders Fight

A typical game among these

≈ 724–2k copies

≈ $330–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~33 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Up N' Down at ≈ 2k–4k copies, ≈ $2k–$7k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 12 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 41.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Precision Platformer (6 of 8) and Racing (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Parkour, priced around $4.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hard Driver 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 645–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$175–$472 after Steam's cut $319–$726 before Steam's cut
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26 reviews
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Up N' Down
2023
Est. copies
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2.8x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$10k before Steam's cut
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Deathrun Guys
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Est. revenue
$54–$145 after Steam's cut $98–$223 before Steam's cut
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8 reviews
8 user reviews
RacingPvP
Hard Driver
2020
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$183–$490 after Steam's cut $332–$754 before Steam's cut
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27 reviews
Mixed
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Magical Girl Dash
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$405–$1k after Steam's cut $737–$2k before Steam's cut
$0.99
60 reviews
Very Positive
GOPOGO
2025
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
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$375–$1k after Steam's cut $681–$2k before Steam's cut
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11 reviews
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Early AccessAdventure
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2.4x vs typical
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Rain Runner
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Est. copies
≈ 942–2k
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ActionCasual

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.