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How big is (val)iant: or, val's guide to having a broken vag?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 2k–3k
from 69 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid (val)iant: or, val's guide to having a broken vag and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including (val)iant: or, val's guide to having a broken vag's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 24k–53k
best case 188k (HudSight - crosshair overlay)
Games like (val)iant: or, val's guide to having a broken vag

A typical game among these

≈ 24k–53k copies

≈ $151k–$159k after Steam's cut

from ~697 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: HudSight - crosshair overlay at ≈ 143k–232k copies, ≈ $314k–$844k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Education (8 of 8) and Software (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Utilities + Education, priced around $54. The breakout hits carry Action + FPS + Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Fences 3
2017
Est. copies
≈ 29k–47k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
833 reviews
Mixed
UtilitiesSoftware
HudSight - crosshair overlay
2021
Est. copies
≈ 143k–232k
8.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$314k–$844k after Steam's cut $571k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$7.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
UtilitiesVideo Production
Clickteam Fusion 2.5
2013
Est. copies
≈ 129k–210k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.6M after Steam's cut $6.5M–$14.7M before Steam's cut
$99.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Game DevelopmentAnimation & Modeling
Putt-Putt® Saves The Zoo
2014
Est. copies
≈ 46k–75k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$89k–$238k after Steam's cut $161k–$367k before Steam's cut
$6.99
824 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureFamily Friendly
CopperCube 6 Game Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 11k–19k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
377 reviews
Very Positive
Animation & ModelingGame Development
Freddi Fish and the Case of the Missing Kelp Seeds
2014
Est. copies
≈ 41k–67k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$80k–$214k after Steam's cut $145k–$329k before Steam's cut
$6.99
740 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Point & ClickAdventure
AppGameKit Classic: Easy Game Development
2014
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
654 reviews
Very Positive
Game DevelopmentSoftware Training
Movavi Video Editor 15 Plus - Video Editing Software
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
473 reviews
Very Positive
Audio ProductionUtilities

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