How much revenue did 木夕镇的午夜轮回 Midnight cycle in Muxi Town make?

$459–$1k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did 木夕镇的午夜轮回 Midnight cycle in Muxi Town sell?

Q: How many copies did 木夕镇的午夜轮回 Midnight cycle in Muxi Town sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 68 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $459–$1k after Steam's cut $835–$2k before Steam's cut; from 68 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 木夕镇的午夜轮回 Midnight cycle in Muxi Town and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 木夕镇的午夜轮回 Midnight cycle in Muxi Town's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 314k–358k

best case 2.9M (OMORI)

Games like 木夕镇的午夜轮回 Midnight cycle in Muxi Town

A typical game among these

≈ 314k–358k copies

≈ $2.0M–$3.0M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Horror (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: OMORI at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 24k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (4 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Horror, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
SILENT HILL 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.7M 6.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $31.4M–$84.4M after Steam's cut $57.1M–$129.8M before Steam's cut	$69.99	66k reviews Very Positive	Psychological Horror Horror
We Were Here 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.9M 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	33k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayCo-op
The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe 2022	Est. copies ≈ 898k–1.5M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	36k reviews Very Positive	Multiple EndingsComedy
Breakout 13 2023	Est. copies ≈ 186k–302k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $511k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $928k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	7k reviews Very Positive	FMVInteractive Fiction
Enigma of Fear 2024	Est. copies ≈ 257k–417k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	10k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MysteryInvestigation
Yuppie Psycho: Executive Edition 2019	Est. copies ≈ 275k–447k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut	$16.99	10k reviews Very Positive	PuzzlePixel Graphics
OMORI 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 8.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Story Rich
Five Nights at Freddy's: Into the Pit 2024	Est. copies ≈ 272k–442k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorPixel Graphics