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How many copies did Contraption Maker sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74k–120k
$263k–$708k after Steam's cut $479k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Contraption Maker and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Contraption Maker's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 660k–1.9M
best case 5.4M (BattleBlock Theater®)
Games like Contraption Maker

A typical game among these

≈ 660k–1.9M copies

≈ $3.3M–$11.4M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Comedy (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: BattleBlock Theater® at ≈ 4.1M–6.6M copies, ≈ $16.8M–$45.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Comedy (3 of 8) and Puzzle (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Platformer, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

BattleBlock Theater®
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.8M–$45.3M after Steam's cut $30.6M–$69.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Gunpoint
2013
Est. copies
≈ 843k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StealthIndie
Door Kickers: Action Squad
2018
Est. copies
≈ 323k–524k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.1M before Steam's cut
$13.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
2D PlatformerPixel Graphics
DDNet
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
47k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpFree to Play
Bridge Constructor Portal
2017
Est. copies
≈ 259k–421k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$712k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Door Kickers
2014
Est. copies
≈ 563k–915k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
TacticalStrategy
Baba Is You
2019
Est. copies
≈ 712k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleIndie
Ultimate Chicken Horse
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerParty

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