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How many copies did BAMG2023 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 694–1k
$189–$508 after Steam's cut $344–$782 before Steam's cut
from 28 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BAMG2023 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BAMG2023's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–5k
best case 25k (Wordle 3)
Games like BAMG2023

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–5k copies

≈ $23k–$26k after Steam's cut

from ~121 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Wordle 3 at ≈ 19k–31k copies, ≈ $162k–$435k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 26 reviews in their first month; the range was 14 to 53.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and Puzzle (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle, priced around $31. The breakout hits carry 2D + Puzzle + Fast-Paced; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Trivia Vault: Hockey Trivia
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14k–$38k after Steam's cut $26k–$59k before Steam's cut
$13.99
122 reviews
Mixed
IndieCasual
Trivia Vault: Boxing Trivia
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14k–$38k after Steam's cut $26k–$59k before Steam's cut
$13.99
121 reviews
Mixed
TriviaCasual
Trivia Vault: Tennis Trivia
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$46k before Steam's cut
$13.99
96 reviews
Mixed
TennisCasual
Trivia Vault: Soccer Trivia
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$12k–$33k after Steam's cut $23k–$51k before Steam's cut
$13.99
106 reviews
Mixed
CasualAction
Glider Sim Deluxe – Soaring Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$40k–$107k after Steam's cut $72k–$164k before Steam's cut
$29.99
194 reviews
Very Positive
CasualSimulation
Wordle 4
2020
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$109k–$292k after Steam's cut $197k–$449k before Steam's cut
$30.62
520 reviews
Mostly Positive
SportsIndie
Wordle 3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
6.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$162k–$435k after Steam's cut $294k–$669k before Steam's cut
$30.62
775 reviews
Mostly Positive
PuzzleCasual
Wordle 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$118k–$317k after Steam's cut $214k–$487k before Steam's cut
$30.62
564 reviews
Mixed
PuzzleCasual

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