Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Plum Blossom Divination sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
from 54 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Plum Blossom Divination and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Plum Blossom Divination's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 104k–516k
best case 1.3M (Unheard - Voices of Crime)
Games like Plum Blossom Divination

A typical game among these

≈ 104k–516k copies

≈ $423k–$2.3M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Unheard - Voices of Crime at ≈ 981k–1.6M copies, ≈ $1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 659 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Detective (7 of 8) and Puzzle (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Puzzle, priced around $7.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Unheard - Voices of Crime
2019
Est. copies
≈ 981k–1.6M
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before Steam's cut
$6.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectivePuzzle
Strange Horticulture
2022
Est. copies
≈ 401k–652k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.3M before Steam's cut
$15.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryPuzzle
노베나 디아볼로스
2020
Est. copies
≈ 39k–63k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$204k–$547k after Steam's cut $370k–$842k before Steam's cut
$18.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationAdventure
CaseCracker
2022
Est. copies
≈ 87k–141k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$238k–$639k after Steam's cut $432k–$983k before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Text-BasedDetective
The Operator
2024
Est. copies
≈ 220k–358k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$848k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$13.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveInvestigation
Cyber Manhunt
2021
Est. copies
≈ 390k–634k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Orwell: Ignorance is Strength
2018
Est. copies
≈ 58k–95k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$160k–$431k after Steam's cut $292k–$664k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationChoices Matter
Hypnospace Outlaw
2019
Est. copies
≈ 160k–261k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$882k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
1990'sSimulation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.