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How many copies did Demon Loop sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before Steam's cut
from 41 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Demon Loop and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Demon Loop's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 634k–1.5M
best case 6.5M (Balatro)
Games like Demon Loop

A typical game among these

≈ 634k–1.5M copies

≈ $3.5M–$18.2M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Balatro at ≈ 5.0M–8.1M copies, ≈ $20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (8 of 8) and Deckbuilding (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 2M–5M
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SuperheroTurn-Based Tactics
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Card BattlerRogue-lite
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≈ 1.1M–1.8M
1.8x vs typical
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Story RichCard Game
Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
8.1x vs typical
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KARDS - The WW2 Card Game
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≈ 1.3M–2.1M
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Est. copies
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Very Positive
RPGCard Game

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