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How many copies did Concord™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 21k–34k
from 849 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Concord™ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Concord™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–8.8M
best case 13.8M (Paladins®)
Games like Concord™

A typical game among these

≈ 2.1M–8.8M copies

≈ $15.9M–$89.3M after Steam's cut

from ~125k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Paladins® at ≈ 10.5M–17.1M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 23k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 47k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (5 of 8) and Shooter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Hero Shooter + FPS.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ULTRAKILL
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.1M–9.9M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut $91.2M–$207.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
245k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Boomer ShooterFast-Paced
Paladins®
2018
Est. copies
≈ 10.5M–17.1M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
345k reviews
Very Positive
Hero ShooterFree to Play
PowerWash Simulator
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$27.0M after Steam's cut $18.3M–$41.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
59k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualRelaxing
Hell Let Loose
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$51.1M–$137.3M after Steam's cut $92.9M–$211.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
150k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterRealistic
The Long Drive
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.2M–$19.2M after Steam's cut $13.0M–$29.6M before Steam's cut
$15.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
DrivingOpen World
Far Cry 3
2012
Est. copies
≈ 8.5M–13.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.6M–$125.4M after Steam's cut $84.8M–$192.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
134k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldFPS
Atomic Heart
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$22.9M–$61.6M after Steam's cut $41.7M–$94.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentFPS
Mirror 2: Project X
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before Steam's cut
$1.99
116k reviews
Mostly Negative
3DMatch 3

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