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How many copies did While Waiting sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–14k
$47k–$126k after Steam's cut $85k–$194k before Steam's cut
from 344 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid While Waiting and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including While Waiting's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 249k–978k
best case 16.5M (Portal)
Games like While Waiting

A typical game among these

≈ 249k–978k copies

≈ $771k–$4.3M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal at ≈ 12.6M–20.5M copies, ≈ $34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 693 reviews in their first month; the range was 117 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Comedy (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Puzzle-Platformer + First-Person + 3D Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Deponia
2012
Est. copies
≈ 930k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePoint & Click
There Is No Game: Wrong Dimension
2020
Est. copies
≈ 648k–1.1M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$12.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndieAdventure
Portal
2007
Est. copies
≈ 12.6M–20.5M
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $63.0M–$143.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
199k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
A Castle Full of Cats
2022
Est. copies
≈ 112k–183k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$123k–$332k after Steam's cut $224k–$511k before Steam's cut
$3.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsHidden Object
Gunpoint
2013
Est. copies
≈ 843k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StealthIndie
Bridge Constructor Portal
2017
Est. copies
≈ 259k–421k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$712k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
A Little to the Left
2022
Est. copies
≈ 478k–777k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
Cats Organized Neatly
2020
Est. copies
≈ 120k–195k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$99k–$265k after Steam's cut $180k–$408k before Steam's cut
$2.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsPuzzle

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