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How many copies did Trash of the Titans sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–13k
$20k–$55k after Steam's cut $37k–$85k before Steam's cut
from 334 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Trash of the Titans and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Trash of the Titans's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 543k–1.1M
best case 27.3M (The Forest)
Games like Trash of the Titans

A typical game among these

≈ 543k–1.1M copies

≈ $6.1M–$13.9M after Steam's cut

from ~17k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 16k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Strategy (6 of 8) and Character Customization (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $32. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Survival + Horror; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Gloomhaven
2021
Est. copies
≈ 400k–650k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpDark Fantasy
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
40x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Battle Brothers
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.3M–$22.2M after Steam's cut $15.0M–$34.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRPG
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
206k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tactical RPGRPG
Armello
2015
Est. copies
≈ 784k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Board GamePvP
Wartales
2023
Est. copies
≈ 899k–1.5M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.7M–$35.8M before Steam's cut
$34.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
Wildermyth
2021
Est. copies
≈ 454k–737k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
Party-Based RPGChoices Matter
The Last Spell
2023
Est. copies
≈ 341k–555k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySingleplayer

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