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How many copies did Detective Dotson sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before Steam's cut
from 169 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Detective Dotson and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Detective Dotson's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–262k
best case 627k (A Little to the Left)
Games like Detective Dotson

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–262k copies

≈ $2k–$948k after Steam's cut

from ~891 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: A Little to the Left at ≈ 478k–777k copies, ≈ $2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 38 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 579.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (6 of 8) and Wholesome (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Wholesome, priced around $15.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Agent A: A puzzle in disguise
2019
Est. copies
≈ 180k–293k
7.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$992k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
LogicPoint & Click
A Little to the Left
2022
Est. copies
≈ 478k–777k
22x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
Down in Bermuda
2021
Est. copies
≈ 41k–67k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$228k–$612k after Steam's cut $414k–$942k before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleHidden Object
Maple & Rufus: The Water Robbery
2024
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$258–$694 after Steam's cut $469–$1k before Steam's cut
$1.99
19 reviews
Positive
Escape RoomPuzzle
Kind Words (lo fi chill beats to write to)
2019
Est. copies
≈ 258k–420k
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$355k–$953k after Steam's cut $645k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
EmotionalRelaxing
100 Forest Cats
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before Steam's cut
$1.99
99 reviews
Very Positive
Point & ClickFree to Play
100 Crime Cats
2025
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$1.99
112 reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayCasual
White Cat Town Mystery
2024
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$191–$512 after Steam's cut $347–$788 before Steam's cut
$3.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
Early AccessVisual Novel

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.