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How many copies did Tropico 5 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 808k–1.3M
$4.4M–$11.9M after Steam's cut $8.1M–$18.4M before Steam's cut
from 14k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tropico 5 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tropico 5's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–2.6M
best case 18.7M (Cities: Skylines)
Games like Tropico 5

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–2.6M copies

≈ $15.6M–$37.0M after Steam's cut

from ~43k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Cities: Skylines at ≈ 14.2M–23.1M copies, ≈ $117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 34k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share City Builder (8 of 8) and Sandbox (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with City Builder + Simulation, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Moddable; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Jurassic World Evolution
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.8M–$55.9M after Steam's cut $37.8M–$86.1M before Steam's cut
$44.99
55k reviews
Very Positive
BuildingDinosaurs
Dwarf Fortress
2022
Est. copies
≈ 783k–1.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.5M–$17.4M after Steam's cut $11.7M–$26.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
DwarfColony Sim
Cities: Skylines
2015
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
6.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
291k reviews
Very Positive
Banished
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.3M–$35.9M after Steam's cut $24.3M–$55.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
Cities: Skylines II
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$31.5M–$84.7M after Steam's cut $57.3M–$130.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
92k reviews
Mixed
Transport Fever 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 950k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.1M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationStrategy
Kingdoms and Castles
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
Jurassic World Evolution 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$19.3M–$51.9M after Steam's cut $35.1M–$79.9M before Steam's cut
$59.99
47k reviews
Very Positive
DinosaursBuilding

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