How much revenue did Kittengumi: The Sakabato's Thief make?

$1k–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Kittengumi: The Sakabato's Thief sell?

Q: How many copies did Kittengumi: The Sakabato's Thief sell?

397 to 645 copies, based on its 16 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 397–645; $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut; from 16 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kittengumi: The Sakabato's Thief and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kittengumi: The Sakabato's Thief's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–1.8M

best case 5.7M (Everlasting Summer)

Games like Kittengumi: The Sakabato's Thief

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–1.8M copies

≈ $14.5M–$17.0M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Everlasting Summer at ≈ 4.4M–7.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (8 of 8) and Story Rich (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Story Rich. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Mature + Choices Matter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	45k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectiveVisual Novel
ATRI -My Dear Moments- 2020	Est. copies ≈ 584k–949k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut	$20.99	24k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAnime
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	39k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeVisual Novel
Danganronpa V3: Killing Harmony 2017	Est. copies ≈ 806k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	23k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelDetective
Everlasting Summer 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.1M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	78k reviews Very Positive	Visual Novel Story Rich
STEINS;GATE 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $9.3M–$25.1M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual Novel Story Rich
Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.2M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.5M–$20.3M after Steam's cut $13.7M–$31.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	33k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeDetective
NEKOPARA Vol. 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 535k–870k too small to compare SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	13k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeSexual Content